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Table 1 Descriptive and univariable analyses

From: Risk scores to predict mortality 2 and 5 years after surgery for colorectal cancer in elderly patients

 

Descriptive analysis

Unadjusted analysis

Mortality up to 2 years

Mortality within 2–5 years

n (%)

HR (95% CI)

p value

HR (95% CI)

p value

Age (years)*

83.24 (2.93)

1.08 (1.02, 1.15)

0.01

1.04 (0.97, 1.11)

0.28

BMI*

27.20 (4.04)

1 (0.94, 1.06)

0.99

0.98 (0.92, 1.03)

0.40

BMI

 ≤ 25

101 (23.71)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 25–30

156 (36.62)

0.96 (0.56, 1.67)

0.89

0.97 (0.59, 1.58)

0.90

 > 30

72 (16.90)

0.87 (0.44, 1.74)

0.70

0.69 (0.36, 1.32)

0.26

Smoking status

 Non-smoker

197 (55.49)

Reference

   

 Current smoker

14 (3.94)

0.67 (0.16, 2.75)

0.57

0.48 (0.12, 1.97)

0.31

 Ex-smoker

144 (40.56)

1.38 (0.91, 2.10)

0.13

1.20 (0.79, 1.81)

0.39

Alcoholism

 No

315 (91.30)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

30 (8.70)

1.86 (0.99, 3.49)

0.06

1.19 (0.55, 2.58)

0.65

Charlson comorbidity index

 ≤ 5

389 (91.31)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 > 5

37 (8.69)

2.03 (1.13, 3.64)

0.02

2.36 (1.26, 4.42)

0.008

Haemoglobin at baseline (g/dl) and localisation

 > 10 and rectum cancer

93 (21.93)

1.18 (0.69, 2.02)

0.54

0.99 (0.60, 1.65)

0.98

 > 10 and colon cancer

250 (58.96)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 ≤ 10 and rectum cancer

7 (1.65)

1.69 (0.41, 6.96)

0.47

0.68 (0.09, 4.9)

0.70

 ≤ 10 and colon cancer

74 (17.45)

2.36 (1.46, 3.83)

0.0001

1.44 (0.84, 2.48)

0.19

Length of stay, days**

11 (8-17)

1.03 (1.02, 1.04)

< 0.001

1.02 (1.01, 1.04)

0.010

ASA

 I, II, III

380 (91.79)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 IV

34 (8.21)

2.28 (1.27, 4.11)

0.006

1.24 (0.57, 2.67)

0.58

Invasion: vascular, perineural, lymphatic

 0, 1

374 (87.79)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 2, 3

52 (12.21)

2.45 (1.25, 4.78)

< 0.001

1.88 (1.03, 3.44)

0.04

Residual tumour classification

 R0

376 (91.48)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 R1

19 (4.62)

2.21 (0.96, 5.10)

0.06

3.87 (1.79, 8.37)

< 0.001

 R2

16 (3.89)

11.15 (6.09, 20.40)

< 0.001

19.72 (4.63, 84.08)

< 0.001

TNM

 0, I, II

248 (58.77)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 III

140 (33.18)

2.24 (1.39, 3.59)

< 0.001

1.30 (0.85, 1.99)

0.23

 IV

34 (8.06)

6.55 (3.72, 11.53)

< 0.001

1.73 (0.70, 4.32)

0.24

LODDS

 Less than − 1.36

329 (82.66)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 (− 1.36, − 0.53]

34 (8.54)

2.96 (1.60, 5.43)

< 0.001

2.49 (1.32, 4.68)

0.005

 Greater than − 0.53

35 (8.79)

4.73 (2.73, 8.21)

< 0.001

1.90 (0.86, 4.21)

0.11

Recurrence of the tumour up to 1 year

 No

357 (87.71)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

50 (12.29)

5.07 (3.28, 7.83)

< 0.001

2.31 (1.17, 4.60)

0.02

Complications during admission

 No

187 (43.90)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

239 (56.10)

1.48 (0.97, 2.25)

0.07

1.22 (0.82, 1.81)

0.34

Readmission within 30 days

 No

382 (91.39)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

36 (8.61)

1.77 (0.97, 3.25)

0.06

1.87 (0.99, 3.50)

0.051

Pre-intervention radiotherapy

 No

390 (91.55)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

36 (8.45)

0.44 (0.16, 1.21)

0.11

0.55 (0.24, 1.26)

0.16

Post-intervention radiotherapy

 No

416 (97.65)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

10 (2.35)

1.32 (0.42, 4.15)

0.64

0.43 (0.06, 3.11)

0.41

Pre-intervention chemotherapy

 No

380 (93.83)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

25 (6.17)

0.32 (0.08, 1.30)

0.11

0.49 (0.18, 1.31)

0.15

Post-intervention chemotherapy

 No

345 (58.19)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

60 (14.81)

1.31 (0.76, 2.25)

0.33

1.06 (0.60, 1.87)

0.84

Age at baseline & radiotherapy treatment within the 2-year follow-up

 < 85 years

300 (70.42)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 85–89 years with no radiotherapy

100 (23.47)

1.61 (1.03, 2.53)

0.04

1.69 (1.08, 2.63)

0.02

 85–89 years with radiotherapy or ≥ 90 years

26 (6.10)

1.28 (0.55, 2.96)

0.57

0.81 (0.29, 2.22)

0.68

Diagnosis tests performed within the first year of follow-up

 No

104 (24.41)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

322 (75.59)

0.71 (0.44, 1.14)

0.15

0.62 (0.39, 0.98)

0.04

Any complication due to the treatment within the 2-year follow-up

 No

390 (91.55)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

36 (8.45)

2.15 (1.21, 3.80)

0.009

0.46 (0.24, 0.86)

0.01

Colostomy closure within the 2-year follow-up period

 No

401 (94.13)

1.56 (0.57, 4.26)

0.38

2.57 (0.81, 8.10)

0.11

 Yes

25 (5.87)

Reference

 

Reference

 

Medical complications within the 2-year follow-up period

 No

219 (51.41)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

207 (48.59)

1.47 (0.97, 2.21)

0.07

1.84 (1.23, 2.75)

0.003

Tumour recurrence within the 2-year follow-up period

 No recurrence

303 (82.11)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Yes

66 (17.89)

5.50 (3.22, 9.39)

< 0.001

3.16 (1.97, 5.04)

< 0.001

Readmissions within the 2-year follow-up period

 No

284 (69.78)

Reference

 

Reference

 

 Only at 1 year or at 2nd year after the surgical intervention

105 (25.80)

3.22 (2.09, 4.95)

< 0.001

1.43 (0.89, 2.29)

0.14

 At both measurements

18 (4.42)

4.14 (1.94, 8.83)

< 0.001

2.24 (0.90, 5.54)

0.08

  1. HR hazard ratio, CI confidence interval. *Mean (SD). **Median (p25, p75). ASA American Society of Anaesthesiologists Physical Status Classification System, TNM cancer stage, LODDS log odds of positive lymph nodes