Prognostic factors in the pulmonary metastasectomy and e�cacy of the repeat pulmonary metastasectomy from colorectal cancer

Background The rate of pulmonary metastasectomy from colorectal cancer (CRC) has increased with recent advances in chemotherapy, diagnostic techniques, and surgical procedures. The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic factors for response to pulmonary metastasectomy and the e�cacy of repeat pulmonary metastasectomy. Methods This study was a retrospective, single-institution study of 126 CRC patients who underwent pulmonary metastasectomy between 2000 and 2019 at the Gifu University Hospital. Results The 3-and 5-year survival rates were 84.9% and 60.8%, respectively. Among the 126 patients, 47 (37.3%) had pulmonary recurrence after initial pulmonary metastasectomy, and 26 (20.6%) underwent a second pulmonary metastasectomy. Univariate analysis of survival identi�ed seven signi�cant factors: 1) gender (p = 0.04), 2) past history of extra-thoracic metastasis (p = 0.04), 3) maximum tumor size (p = 0.002), 4) mediastinal lymph node metastasis (p = 0.02), 5) preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level (p = 0.01), 6) preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) level (p = 0.03), and 7) repeat pulmonary metastasectomy for pulmonary recurrence (p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, only mediastinal lymph node metastasis (p = 0.02, risk ratio: 8.206, 95% con�dence interval (CI): 1.566-34.962) and repeat pulmonary metastasectomy for pulmonary recurrence (p < 0.001, risk ratio: 0.054, 95% CI: 0.010-0.202) were signi�cant. Furthermore, there was no signi�cant difference in clinical and surgical characteristics between the initial and the second pulmonary metastasectomy except for intraoperative blood loss. Conclusions Repeat pulmonary metastasectomy is likely to be safe and effective for recurrent cases that meet the surgical criteria. However, mediastinal lymph node metastasis was a signi�cant independent prognostic factor for worse overall survival.


Introduction
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common cancers, and is known to metastasize frequently to the liver and lungs via the systemic blood ow.In the past, pulmonary metastasis was considered to be an indicator of cancer spread throughout the body, and aggressive treatment was commonly avoided.
However, because of recent advances in chemotherapy, diagnostic techniques, and surgical procedures, pulmonary resection is widely accepted as the optimal treatment for pulmonary metastases [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8].It is expected that the clinical results of pulmonary metastasectomy will change with the improvement of medical care.Thus, it is necessary to continue evaluation of the outcome of pulmonary metastasectomy in CRC patients in order to identify true prognostic factors and determine appropriate surgical criteria.We report the clinical outcomes of pulmonary metastasectomy at our institutes.The main purpose of this study was to answer the following questions: 1) What are the potential prognostic factors for patients undergoing pulmonary metastasectomy?2) What is the role of repeat pulmonary metastasectomy for recurrent metastatic CRC?

Study population
A total of 126 patients underwent pulmonary metastasectomy at the Department of Thoracic Surgery, Gifu University Hospital between March 2000 and December 2019.The study's retrospective protocol was approved by our institutional review board (approval number '2019-253').Among the 126 patients included, 47 (37.3%) had pulmonary recurrence after initial pulmonary metastasectomy, and 26 (20.6%) who met the surgical criteria underwent a second pulmonary metastasectomy (Figure 1).
All patients who underwent pulmonary metastasectomy met the following criteria based on the Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum (JSCCR) Guidelines for the treatment of CRC [9]: (1) The patient was capable of tolerating surgery, (2) The primary colorectal tumor was controlled or could be controlled, (3) The metastatic lung tumor could be completely resected, (4) Any extra-thoracic metastases could be controlled, and (5) The function of the remaining lung would be adequate.
A controllable tumor is a tumor that can be completely resected, or a tumor without the appearance of new lesions and regrowth after treatment such as surgery, chemotherapy, and radiation.
Preoperative assessments included clinical examination, blood tests, electrocardiogram, standard chest radiograph, spirometry, echocardiogram, contrast enhanced computed tomography scan (CT) of the chest and abdomen, and positron emission tomography (PET) whole body scan.
Endobronchial ultrasound-guided transbronchial biopsy was not performed routinely in this study.
Regarding the extent of pulmonary resection, if metastatic tumor was anatomically present in the outer third of the lung and partial resection was possible, we performed partial resection.If it was located inside lung, segmentectomy and lobectomy were performed.
Mediastinal lymph node dissection was performed according to primary lung cancer in the cases in which lymph node metastasis was suspected (swelling with short axis on CT ≧10mm and PET positive).
If lymph node metastasis was suspected during surgery, this lymph node was submitted to intraoperative consultation.If positive, mediastinal lymph node dissection was performed.In addition, in the case of lobectomy and segmentectomy, the regional and interlobar lymph nodes were dissected.Otherwise, mediastinal lymph node dissection was not performed.
The surgery was considered curative if all known pulmonary nodules were removed.Patients who had complete resection of all known pulmonary disease were included in this study.We reviewed each patient's medical records to obtain clinicopathological information of the initial and second pulmonary metastasectomy.
We collected information on patients and primary colorectal tumor characteristics including gender, age at the initial pulmonary metastasectomy, smoking habits (non-smoker or smoker), Brinkman index, primary colorectal tumor location (colon or rectum/ right or left side), histological differentiation of the primary colorectal tumor (well-, moderately-, or poorly differentiated), pathological Union for International Cancer Control-TNM classi cation (8th edition) [10] of the primary colorectal tumor, past history of extrathoracic metastasis (present or absent), adjuvant chemotherapy after the primary colorectal operation (yes or no), and the number of pulmonary metastasectomies.
The clinical characteristics of pulmonary metastases included diagnosis period (synchronous or metachronous), number (solitary or multiple), location (unilateral or bilateral), disease-free interval, maximum tumor size, mediastinal lymph node metastasis (positive or negative in postoperative histological lymph node status), preoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) (normal or elevated, normal upper limit being 5 ng/ml), preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) (normal or elevated, normal upper limit being 37 ng/ml), perioperative chemotherapy (yes or no), recurrence after pulmonary metastasectomy (yes or no), and recurrent distant organ.In this study, lung lesions diagnosed within 1 year from resection of the primary colorectal tumor were de ned as synchronous metastases, and those diagnosed after 1 year were de ned as metachronous metastases.The disease-free interval (DFI) referred to both the period from primary colorectal tumor resection to diagnosis of the initial pulmonary metastasis and the period from the initial pulmonary metastasectomy to diagnosis of the second pulmonary metastasis.In our department, as a general rule, perioperative chemotherapy was indicated in cases excluding solitary pulmonary metastasis with DFI > 1year.

Statistical analysis
For comparisons of variables between the initial and second pulmonary metastasectomy groups, Fisher's exact test was used for categorical variables, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for continuous and ordinal variables.
Overall survival was calculated in months from the date of the initial pulmonary resection to the date of the last follow-up.All cumulative survival curves were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method, and in the univariate analysis, the log-rank test was used to evaluate differences between groups.A Cox relative risk regression model was used to estimate risk ratios and 95% con dence intervals (CIs) for multivariate analysis.The signi cance level was set at < 0.05.All statistical analyses were performed using JMP software (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA).

Patient demographics
Patient and primary colorectal tumor characteristics for each group are presented in Table 1.The cohort consisted of 85 males (67.5%) and 41 females (32.5%).The age at the initial pulmonary metastasectomy ranged from 37 to 84 years, with a median of 66 years.The primary tumor location was the colon in 59 cases (46.8%) and the rectum in 66 cases (52.4%).Forty-ve patients (35.7%) had a past history of extrathoracic metastasis, and the liver (33 cases, 26.2%) was the most frequent site of metastasis.
In the second pulmonary metasetasectomy group, the mode and maximum number of repeat pulmonary metastasectomies were 2 (14 cases, 53.9%) and 4 (5 cases, 19.2%), respectively.The age at the initial metastasectomy was signi cantly younger (p=0.04).However, there was no signi cant difference in other patient and primary colorectal tumor characteristics between the two groups.
The characteristics of pulmonary metastases in each group are presented in Table 2.There was no signi cant difference between the two groups in 10 clinical characteristics.Although the DFI was not signi cantly different between the groups {median 541.5 (range 0-4664) days vs 409 (range 27-1334) days, p = 0.13}, the recurrence rate tended to be higher in the second pulmonary resection group (53.2% vs 65.4%, p = 0.07).The lung was the most common metastatic organ in both groups (37.3% and 46.4%, respectively).

Surgical characteristics in initial and second pulmonary metastasectomy
Surgical characteristics for each group are presented in Table 3.The amount of intraoperative blood loss was signi cantly higher in patients undergoing second pulmonary metastasectomy {median 10 (range 0-1130) ml vs 20 (0-220) ml, p = 0.008}.However, there were no signi cant differences in postoperative complications, postoperative mortality, or hospital stay between the groups.

Discussion
The number of new CRC cases has been increasing annually worldwide.In 2002, the number of new diagnoses was estimated to be about 1.02 million globally [12], but in 2018, the number had increased to about 1.8 million [13].Accordingly, the number of patients with pulmonary metastases from CRC is inevitably increasing.However, the development of multidrug chemotherapy regimens such as FOLFOX and FOLFIRI and the emergence of molecular targeting drugs such as anti-VEGF antibody and anti-EGFR antibodies have dramatically improved CRC outcomes.Treatment strategies for pulmonary metastasis of CRC have received attention for the purpose of further improving prognosis [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8].
Previously, pulmonary metastasis was considered to be a condition in which cancer spread throughout the body, and aggressive treatment was commonly avoided.However, since Thomfold et al. [14] proposed the principles of surgical treatment for pulmonary metastases, pulmonary metastasectomy has been performed on patients who meet the operative criteria, and the prognosis after treatment is relatively good.The 5-year survival rate after pulmonary resection is reported to be 30-68% [1-8]; a similar result was observed in this study (60.8%).In the multicenter aggregate in the JSCCR project study [8], the 5-year survival rate of lung resection cases was 46.7% and the cumulative 5-year relapse-free survival rate was 33.7%, whereas the 5-year survival rate of non-resected cases was 3.9%.While many previous reports have shown good results in curative resection for lung metastases from CRC, the PULMICC (Pulmonary Metastasectomy in Colorectal Cancer) trial showed contrasting results [15].This was a 2-armed multicenter randomized trial which compared pulmonary metastasectomy with continued observation for enrolling 65 patients.As a result, 4-year overall survival was 40% in the control group versus 43% for patients assigned to metastasectomy.Although this trial was not able to demonstrate a survival bene t of metastasectomy, its outcome may be explained by the small sample size and the good prognosis of the control group which contrasts with the widely held assumption that patients with lung metastases have a 5-year overall survival of < 5%.Thus, it is important to continue to accumulate cohort studies or randomized controlled trials of adequate sample size (at least 100 cases) to reveal the true value of pulmonary metastasectomy.
According to some reports [1][2][3][4][5][6][7][8][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25], the number of metastases, location of lung metastases, mediastinal lymph node metastasis, CEA before pulmonary metastasectomy, primary colorectal tumor factors (T factor and N factor), and DFI after resection of the primary colorectal tumor were found to be prognostic factors.In this study, history of extra-thoracic metastasis, maximum tumor size, mediastinal lymph node metastasis, and elevated tumor marker level before pulmonary metastasectomy were also identi ed as poor prognostic factors.Multivariate analysis identi ed only mediastinal lymph node metastasis as an independent predictor of poor prognosis.Therefore, excluding cases of mediastinal lymph node metastasis, our results suggest that neither the characteristics of the patients and the primary colorectal tumor nor those of the pulmonary metastases affected the prognosis after pulmonary metastasectomy.
Mediastinal lymph node metastasis in patients with pulmonary metastases is considered to re ect the spread of the cancer to the entire body and is therefore likely to be a poor prognostic factor.In our study, although the number of mediastinal lymph node-positive cases was small, all had past histories of extrathoracic metastasis.Furthermore, distant metastases to other extra-thoracic organs such as the brain, liver, and bone occurred within 1 year after surgery in these patients.Several studies have suggested an association of mediastinal lymph node metastasis with an increased risk of death [16,18,19,22,26], and a meta-analysis [21] showed poor 5-year survival among patients with lymph node metastasis (range, 0% to 33.5%) compared to those without lymph node metastasis (range, 38.7% to 71%).Our results suggest that lymph node dissection for patients with mediastinal lymph node metastasis has low therapeutic e cacy for those with other poor prognostic factors, and preventive systematic thoracic lymph node dissection to prolong prognosis is probably not necessary.Hamaji et al reported that systematic lymph node dissection was not a signi cant factor for prolonged survival in the patients who underwent lymph node dissection, although long-term survivors were present [26].Furthermore, Welter et al. [27] suggested it is more important to offer adjuvant chemotherapy after metastasectomy in cases of nodal metastasis than to perform radical or systematic lymph node dissection in patients with stage IV disease, bearing in mind risk of recurrence in extra-pulmonary organs.However, it was reported that CT and PET based imaging levels have poor sensitivity (only 35%) for detecting mediastinal lymph node metastasis [26].In this study as well, the sensitivity of preoperative examination for mediastinal lymph node was 60%, despite a good speci city.Therefore, thoracic lymph node dissection may have clinical signi cance as a diagnostic tool for prognostic purpose and direction the decision towards an adjuvant systemic chemotherapy.In our study, perioperative chemotherapy had no signi cant effect on survival.Prospective studies on the e cacy of perioperative chemotherapy and appropriate indications for it are necessary in the future.
The present study also showed that repeat pulmonary metastasectomy for pulmonary recurrence is likely to be effective.Repeat pulmonary metastasectomy is a well-established procedure with satisfactory survival [1,2,4,5,16,17,20].We had 26 patients (20.6% of all 126 cases and 55.3% of the 47 pulmonary recurrent cases after initial pulmonary metastasectomy) who underwent repeat pulmonary metastasectomy.They had 1-and 3-year survivals of 90.7% and 84.6% after the second pulmonary metastasectomy, which are similar to the outcomes after initial metastasectomy (97.4% and 84.9%, respectively).There was no signi cant difference between the two groups in either the clinical characteristics of the primary colorectal tumor and the pulmonary metastases, or in the surgical outcomes including postoperative complications, mortality, and length of hospital stay.Only the amount of intraoperative blood loss was signi cantly higher in the second pulmonary metastasectomy group, probably because of the higher rate of segmentectomy.Furthermore, the difference in the amount of blood loss was so small that it was considered of no clinical signi cance.Therefore, at least one repeat pulmonary metastasectomy can be performed relatively safely and can be expected to improve the prognosis if strictly complying with operative criteria.
As a secondary analysis, the prognostic factors for the second pulmonary metastasectomy group were also evaluated by the same method.In past reports [28][29][30][31], preoperative CEA level, number of pulmonary metastases, mediastinal lymph node metastasis, and DFI were found to affect survival after repeat pulmonary metastasectomy.In this study, it was di cult to draw a rm conclusion due to sample size, no prognostic factors showing signi cant differences were found in the patients who met the surgical criteria.Some limitations of this study have to be addressed.First, the major limitation of our study is the singleinstitution, retrospective design.Second, there was a potential for selection bias, which was compounded by the retrospective design.Inclusion of patients was highly selective, with patients having presumed good performance status and few comorbidities, which might have contributed to the observed long-term survival.These limitations should be considered when evaluating the results of the present study.It is necessary to carry out a prospective study with an appropriate control group at multiple institutions that have a uni ed de nition of operative indication and treatment strategy.The medical treatment of malignant tumor has entered the era of immunotherapy.Compared with traditional chemotherapy, neoadjuvant and adjuvant immunotherapy may improve the survival rate of patients.Thus, study of treatment including immunotherapy will be needed in the future.

Conclusions
Pulmonary metastasectomy may have a potential survival bene t for patients with metastatic CRC.In our retrospective study, the status of mediastinal lymph nodes was a signi cant independent prognostic factor.Therefore, the presence or absence of mediastinal lymph node metastases must be accurately determined by thoracic lymph node dissection in cases where lymph node metastasis is suspected from preoperative evaluation and intraoperative ndings.Also, careful follow up after the initial pulmonary metastasectomy is warranted, because at least one repeat pulmonary metastasectomy may improve the prognosis.Overall survival of pulmonary metastasectomy for colorectal cancer Abbreviations CRC -colorectal cancer

Figure 1 Patients
Figure 1

Table 1
Patients and primary colorectal tumor characteristics in each group (initial and second pulmonary metastasectomy) The initial pulmonary

Table 3
Surgical characteristics in each group (initial and second pulmonary metastasectomy)

Table 4
Survival of the pulmonary metastasectomy from CRC in univariate analysis Brinkman index = (the number of cigarette smoked per day) × (the number of years of smoking) ‡: UICC TNM classi cation(the 8 th edition)

Table 5
Survival of the pulmonary from CRC in multivariate analysis